Borrower Distress and Debt Relief: Evidence from a Natural Experiment
By Saptarshi Mukherjee, Krishnamurthy Subramanian, Prasanna Tantri
Journal of Law and Economics | November 2018
DOI
rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/content/pdfs/Dr.%20Krishnamurthy%20Subramanian%20and%20Dr.%20Prasanna%20Tantri_Paper(31082017).pdf
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Mukherjee, Saptarshi., Subramanian, Krishnamurthy., Tantri, Prasanna. Borrower Distress and Debt Relief: Evidence from a Natural Experiment Journal of Law and Economics rbidocs.rbi.org.in/rdocs/content/pdfs/Dr.%20Krishnamurthy%20Subramanian%20and%20Dr.%20Prasanna%20Tantri_Paper(31082017).pdf.
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Journal of Law and Economics, 2018
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Abstract
Using unique borrower-level data, we study the causal effect of debt relief on the loan performance of distressed and nondistressed borrowers. We employ a regression discontinuity design that exploits exogenous cutoff dates underlying the 2008 Indian debt waiver program to separate defaulters on loans into beneficiaries and nonbeneficiaries of waivers. By identifying distress before the waiver program using exogenous borrower-level shocks, we examine performance on loans originated after the waiver program. Loan performance of nondistressed beneficiaries worsens, while that of distressed borrowers improves. While existing studies aggregate the effects of debt relief across distressed and nondistressed borrowers, we highlight crucial differences between them

K. V. Subramanian is a Professor of Finance at the Indian School of Business (ISB). He served as Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund representing India and South Asia and was the 17th Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India from 2018 to 2021.

Professor Subramanian is a financial economist with significant experience in economic policymaking. His work bridges academic research and public policy, with a focus on applying first-principles economic reasoning to complex, high-stakes problems in emerging economies. His scholarly research in financial economics has appeared in the leading journals, while his policy work has addressed issues of growth, financial stability, and institutional reform across India and South Asia.

As India’s Chief Economic Adviser, Professor Subramanian worked with senior political leadership to help design the macro-financial and public-health architecture of India’s COVID-19 response and to conceptualize Atmanirbhar Bharat (Self-reliant India), contributing to the intellectual foundations of structural reforms. He authored three Economic Surveys of India that introduced new policy frameworks emphasizing ethical wealth creation, supply-side reform, and public-investment-led growth. The thematic Surveys—a departure from past practice—were widely discussed within government, cited by senior political leadership for reshaping the policy discourse, and continue to guide India’s economic approach, illustrating how first-principles economic analysis can inform large-scale reform.

As Executive Director at the International Monetary Fund, Professor Subramanian worked with senior sovereign leadership during major balance-of-payments crises in South Asia and contributed to the design, negotiation, and oversight of stabilization programs emphasizing fiscal credibility, social protection, and climate resilience. Across engagements with multilateral institutions, including the United Nations, Professor Subramanian has advanced data-driven reforms in global economic governance aimed at fairness, transparency, and institutional credibility.

Alongside academic and policy work, Professor Subramanian has written books on economic policy and monetary economics. including India@100, a national bestseller that presents an evidence-based framework for India’s long-term growth trajectory toward its centenary in 2047, and Money: A Zero-Sum Game, which develops a first-principles, balance-sheet-based framework for understanding money creation and monetary transmission by combining theoretical reasoning with empirical analysis. He has also engaged extensively with the public to improve economic literacy by communicating complex ideas in accessible ways while remaining grounded in scholarly rigor—efforts that have led to him being described in the media as “the common man’s economist.”

Professor Subramanian has been conferred the Distinguished Alumnus award by both his alma maters at IIT Kanpur and IIM Calcutta. He holds a PhD from the University of Chicago. 

Krishnamurthy Subramanian
Krishnamurthy Subramanian

Prasanna Tantri is an Associate Professor of Finance and the Executive Director of the Centre for Analytical Finance at the Indian School of Business (ISB). He also serves as an Independent Director and Chair of the Audit and Risk Management Committees at Power Finance Corporation. His research interests include banking, macro-finance, financial inclusion, financial contagion, and regulation. He has published his research in top journals such as the Review of Financial Studies, The Journal of Accounting and Economics, The Review of Finance, The Journal of Accounting Research, Management Science, The Journal of Financial And Quantitative Analysis, Journal of Development Economics, and others. 

He is currently heading the group entrusted by the government of Telangana with the task of drafting a vision document for the state of Telangana. He was a part of the Expert Working Group on Investor Protection at the National Stock Exchange and a Member of the Technical Group on the Social Stock Exchange, constituted by the Securities and Exchange Board of India. He was also appointed as a Member of the Technical Advisory Committee for the Evaluation of Schemes for the Promotion of Digital Payments in India, under the Development Monitoring & Evaluation Office (DMEO), NITI Aayog.

Prasanna Tantri
Prasanna Tantri